November 18, 2018

40% Less Than Carl Paid…


In the two decades that I’ve been investing in stocks, one of my favorite strategies is to follow very successful investors and wait for the opportunity to buy one of their holdings at a sizable discount to what they paid—particularly if the thesis seems to be playing out. With that in mind, it is worth noting that Carl Icahn is one of the greatest ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: SandRidge
November 4, 2018

TOO Much Debt…


I wrote about Teekay Offshore (TOO – USA) on January 1, 2018 following the end of tax loss selling season. At the time, my thesis was that reported numbers were a mess of 1-time events that investors couldn’t follow, yet new growth projects were coming online and a more stabilized cash flow stream would evolve. In the interim, you were paying about 5-times stabilized ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: TOO
October 25, 2018

“Q3 Results Secured”


On October 11, I noted that “…I have booked all of my Tesla (TSLAQ – USA) Jan 2019 250/175 put spreads after owning them for almost a year, at a reference price of $255 compared to a reference price of $320 when I first wrote about them. While I am certain that Tesla collapses in the near future, all evidence seems to show that they’ve ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: TSLA
October 23, 2018

Trouble In Arkansas


During every credit cycle, there is one national lender that all other lenders try to emulate. This is because a combination of rapid asset growth and elevated net interest margins leads to rapid earnings growth and share price appreciation. Unfortunately, in order to do that, you have to make a lot of risky loans and pretend they’re totally safe. Remember Countrywide Financial? They were ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: OZK, JOE
October 11, 2018

One Ring To Rule Them All…


Last week, US interest rates completed a multi-year reversal pattern and broke out over a three-decade downtrend line. I believe that interest rates move in generational cycles and the chart pattern has now confirmed a long-term trend towards higher interest rates. This trend is across the entire US duration curve and appears to have been followed by similar moves in many other global benchmarks. ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: Aimia, Viemed, Tesla, Tidewater
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