August 7, 2013

Potash Will Not Go The Way Of Iron Ore…


The rule with oligopolies is that eventually, someone cheats a bit—then everyone cheats a lot. That’s the reason that oligopolies rarely last very long—particularly when you are dealing with global commodities that are not all that scarce. Or at least, that’s how most economists think of the world. I would like to offer a slightly different axiom—if you are making too much money, you Read More
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July 13, 2013

There Is Always A Bull Market Somewhere…


Last night, a friend sent me this video    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hlxHoboDz2k&feature=player_embedded       with the subject line—“Bull market in tear gas. How do we get exposure…??” That got me thinking—I bet there is a raging bull market for the guys who produce this stuff. As I watch the chaos in Egypt, Brazil, Greece, Turkey and other countries, I am reminded that even within the chaos, there are bull markets. Uncertainty Read More
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June 30, 2013

The Great Gold Shakeout of 2013


Gold means lots of things to lots of people. To some, it is a store of value, to others; it is a barbarous relic from a long-ago era of archaic finance. To some, it is a day-trading product, to others; it is meant for jewelry and little else. The issue with gold is that it has lots of personalities. Those personalities are the embodiment Read More
Categories: Investments
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June 25, 2013

Will Bernanke Get ALL Of The Bonds…?


Over the last few months, I have had this recurring thought. It sort of takes the form of a girl having a conversation with Ben Bernanke. I know, very odd, but bear with me. Girl: Mr. Ben, why are you so sad? You’re the most powerful person on earth. Bernanke: This deflation is unstoppable. I keep trying, but I just cannot figure out how to create Read More
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June 19, 2013

Are Low Interest Rates The Problem…??


What if the Central Bankers have it all wrong? What if low rates are actually the problem, not the solution? We all know and basically accept that low rates thwart the creative, destructive process of capitalism, where inefficient companies go bankrupt and remove competition from the marketplace so that stronger companies can thrive. If you can forever refinance and reduce your interest cost, it’s Read More
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