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January 24, 2022

Shitridge…


Rewind the clock almost two years… Analyst: For fuk’s sake Kuppy. Stop buying more Shitridge. Me: …but it’s sooo incredibly cheap. Analyst: Who cares? You said that five dollars ago. It wrecked our 2019 and it’s already wrecking our 2020. Me: Our only edge in this game, is to buy more when it transitions from cheap to downright stupid. It’s rare, but occasionally, something Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: SD
April 13, 2020

Cookin’ With Gas…


Before I start, it’s worth putting things into perspective here. In the fall of 2018, I made a call on natural gas (mostly based on the same thesis expounded below) and got it spectacularly wrong. In fact, I lost enough money that I can now teach a doctorate level course in how to lose money in natural gas. Along the way, I learned a Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: SD
November 21, 2019

My Discovery While On Vacation…


I know, I know, you’re sick of hearing about my vacation. Don’t worry, I’m not sharing vacation pics again. Rather, I want to talk about what I “discovered” in my weeks away from the screens. I believe that most serious investors are smart enough to buy cheap stocks—it’s the harder “other stuff” that separates those who excel in this industry from everyone else. I Read More
Positions Mentioned: ASPS, STNG, SD
May 21, 2019

Time To Sell Something…


Back in December, when anything with a CUSIP was getting dumped by hedge funds facing liquidations, I repeatedly made the point (here, here, here) that it was the time to buy—particularly those assets that were at the epicenter of those hedge fund liquidations. Now, five months later, with most securities having recovered quite nicely, I want to remind you of how dark it was Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: AR, GPOR, RRC, SD, STNG, TSLA
December 3, 2018

Who’s Bullish On Natural Gas??


I am bullish on US natural gas. I realize that this is one of the most contrarian things you can say in finance, but I am indeed bullish. Every investor knows that the US is awash in cheap natural gas, but investors often forget that usage and export volumes have also increased rapidly. Meanwhile, pipeline bottlenecks have slowed down the pace of new supply Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: AR, GPOR, RRC, SD
November 18, 2018

40% Less Than Carl Paid…


In the two decades that I’ve been investing in stocks, one of my favorite strategies is to follow very successful investors and wait for the opportunity to buy one of their holdings at a sizable discount to what they paid—particularly if the thesis seems to be playing out. With that in mind, it is worth noting that Carl Icahn is one of the greatest Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: SandRidge