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March 1, 2019

End Of The Road…


All Ponzi schemes follow a basic rule; as long as more money is coming in than out, the scheme can continue to inflate. When money stops flowing in, the scheme collapses—often quite rapidly. I believe that Tesla (TSLAQ – USA) is near the final stages of this arc. Excluding stock option exercises, cash is no longer inbound; meanwhile Tesla can no longer use financial ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: TSLAQ
January 3, 2019

The Profitless Prosperity Sector Will Collapse…


Near the culmination of all great stock market bubbles, at least one of that cycle’s supposed luminaries suffers an epic collapse because of fraud. As a result, fresh capital is restricted from that sector when it is needed most, leading to further crisis and a winnowing out of the sector as competitors cannot raise additional capital. Remember; suckers are always willing to finance bad ... Read More
Categories: Comments On Events
Positions Mentioned: TSLA
October 25, 2018

“Q3 Results Secured”


On October 11, I noted that “…I have booked all of my Tesla (TSLAQ – USA) Jan 2019 250/175 put spreads after owning them for almost a year, at a reference price of $255 compared to a reference price of $320 when I first wrote about them. While I am certain that Tesla collapses in the near future, all evidence seems to show that they’ve ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: TSLA
October 11, 2018

One Ring To Rule Them All…


Last week, US interest rates completed a multi-year reversal pattern and broke out over a three-decade downtrend line. I believe that interest rates move in generational cycles and the chart pattern has now confirmed a long-term trend towards higher interest rates. This trend is across the entire US duration curve and appears to have been followed by similar moves in many other global benchmarks. ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: Aimia, Viemed, Tesla, Tidewater
July 4, 2018

Tesla Is The New Theranos (With A Curious Nazi Twist)


I originally started following Tesla (TSLA – USA) as I felt it was a structurally unprofitable business nearing a cash crunch as hundreds of competing products were about to enter the market. As I’ve studied Tesla more closely, I’ve come to realize that Elon Musk appears to be running a Ponzi Scheme disguised as an auto-manufacturer; where he has to keep unveiling new products, ... Read More
Positions Mentioned: TSLA
July 1, 2018

Ivar Kreuger Goes “Green”…


Let me start with an admission; following Tesla (TSLA – USA) has taken an increasingly disproportionate amount of my time over the past few months. At times, I cannot seem to look away from the unfolding train-wreck. I think this is because Tesla combines elements of every major securities fraud over the past century; along with the frenetic energy of a penny-stock promoter lurching ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: TSLA
June 25, 2018

All It Was Cracked Up To Be…


One of the toughest decisions when investing in growth companies; is when to sell the winners. The issue is that successful businesses continue to increase in value over time. Therefore, selling means that you miss out on some of that growth. That said; I tend to find that despite having a multi-year forward valuation target, sometimes, a good chunk of that valuation gets realized ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: JYNT, TSLA
March 29, 2018

Tesla Learns About Reflexivity


Before George Soros focused his energies on undermining Western Society, he wrote a book detailing his theory of reflexivity. Reflexivity is the theory that the market’s own expectations about an event can help impact the actual future outcome of the event in a feedback loop of sorts. Take a mining company that needs to raise money to build a mine. Since the cost of ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: TSLA
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