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June 19, 2020
Published by Kuppy at June 19, 2020
I have always run my book with two distinct buckets. One bucket is focused on “global micro trends,” which means that I find thematic inflections in global markets and position myself in small and mid-cap names that are likely to benefit. This is the fun stuff that I like to write about. My other bucket, which I rarely write about, is focused on event-driven, tactical
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March 23, 2020
Published by Kuppy at March 23, 2020
It’s said that you want to buy when others are fearful. It sure seems that investors are currently losing their minds. Look, I get it, there’s a virus and there’s a good chance that a lot of us will get it. There’s conflicting data about the overall mortality rate which makes it all worse; especially as its origins in China are terrifying. All sorts
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November 21, 2019
Published by Kuppy at November 21, 2019
I know, I know, you’re sick of hearing about my vacation. Don’t worry, I’m not sharing vacation pics again. Rather, I want to talk about what I “discovered” in my weeks away from the screens. I believe that most serious investors are smart enough to buy cheap stocks—it’s the harder “other stuff” that separates those who excel in this industry from everyone else. I
Read MorePositions Mentioned: ASPS, STNG, SD
June 28, 2019
Published by Kuppy at June 28, 2019
Longtime readers of this site know that I try to avoid making big stock market calls as I feel that I have no edge there. An overvalued market perched on shaky fundamentals can always become more overvalued. Besides, opinions are worth what you pay for them—which incidentally is free around here. I’d rather focus my energy on esoteric pockets of the world that are
Read MorePositions Mentioned: ASPS, AR, SD
July 4, 2018
Published by Kuppy at July 4, 2018
I originally started following Tesla (TSLA – USA) as I felt it was a structurally unprofitable business nearing a cash crunch as hundreds of competing products were about to enter the market. As I’ve studied Tesla more closely, I’ve come to realize that Elon Musk appears to be running a Ponzi Scheme disguised as an auto-manufacturer; where he has to keep unveiling new products,
Read MorePositions Mentioned: TSLA
May 17, 2017
Published by Kuppy at May 17, 2017
A few weeks back, I was catching up with a friend of mine who runs a very successful high yield fund and naturally, the conversation turned to the markets. Me: Congrats on yet another great year in 2016. Him: Yeah, we beat our benchmark, but I’m sort of bummed. 2016 was the year we really should have killed it. They just gave away money in fixed
Read MorePositions Mentioned: none
October 9, 2014
Published by Kuppy at October 9, 2014
Now, I’m the sort of guy who likes to ask taxi drivers for recommendations—everything from best street food to favorite bars—especially when I’m visiting a new city. So, as we piled into the taxi from the airport, I asked the driver for some recommendations. “Don’t leave your hotel—it isn’t safe.” Ok, we’d already been warned the same by pretty much everyone we knew, yet
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July 22, 2011
Published by Kuppy at July 22, 2011
How do you make money in a boring range-bound market? Well, you certainly need to be resourceful. Finance guys have given us lots of toys to play with; the trick is to know which ones to use and how to use them correctly. I haven’t spoken much about options, but they are a key weapon in my arsenal. Longtime readers of this site will
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January 27, 2011
Published by Kuppy at January 27, 2011
In my world, there are three types of positions—investments, speculations and trades. Before you buy a share, you need to mentally assign each position a category; otherwise you will regret it later on. Once you have your categories, it is bad form to change them. Risk control is critical and you have to make sure you adjust your positions correctly over time. Let’s start
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