October 7, 2020

Shorts Get ArmaDillar’d


I have been writing a good deal about Event-Driven trading lately on this site; largely because the results have continued to be so strong and I feel that by sharing a few of the strategy types, I can get your mental gears rolling. Three weeks ago, I wrote about the unusual situation at Dillard’s (DDS – USA) where there were more shares short than ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: DDS
October 5, 2020

It’s JOEtime!!!


Back in June of 2018, I wrote an initial piece on St. Joe (JOE – USA), owner of approximately 175,000 undeveloped acres along with assorted commercial real estate on the Florida Panhandle. My thesis was that the stock was trading at $18 and the land was worth a few times that figure. However, without a catalyst, I lost interest and focused on other investments ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: JOE
October 2, 2020

On Inflection Investing…


Over the years, I have spent a lot of time talking about “inflection investments,” but have never really given a playbook for how to approach this genre of investments.  Given the number of questions I have received about various investments, clearly, I should have put out some guidance to invest by. What is an inflection investment? This is a situation where some dynamic piece ... Read More
Positions Mentioned: EURN, LPG, STNG, TNK
September 24, 2020

Playing The Housing Recovery…


Over the past few months, I’ve been writing a lot about Event-Driven strategies, mainly because I see an unusual amount of opportunity there. That said, Event-Driven remains a small piece of my book. The core of what I do is inflection investing—finding a theme that’s inflecting better and get there before anyone else realizes it. With that preamble out of the way, today the ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: CNR
September 23, 2020

SHLL We Arb This One…???


I’ve been spending more and more of my time on Event-Driven (ED) trading strategies because I see the most opportunity there. I’ve already spoken about how SPACs often diverge from their own warrants—mainly because the Robinhood platform doesn’t allow its clients to play along in the warrants. Back in June, I played this fact very profitably in Nikola Motors (NKLA – USA) where the ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: SHLL
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