December 27, 2020

On Riding Freight Trains…


I have a friend who’s a reasonably competent trader. He’s the type who draws his voodoo lines everywhere on the charts. He caught the same trendline break on Bitcoin that I did around $9,200. He expected some resistance around $10,000 and sold out for a quick score just below the figure. He then got the breakout at $12,000 and rode it a few thousand. ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: GBTC, JOE
December 14, 2020

Costa Rica…


The great thing about investing is that no one ever forces you to put on a position. I prefer to wait with excess liquidity and find those amazing opportunities that seem to pop up a few times a year—remember how they gave away the store at the lows in March? That doesn’t mean I don’t do plenty of Event-Driven trading as it’s an Alpha-rich, ... Read More
Categories: Travels
Positions Mentioned: TNK
November 24, 2020

Why This Reflexive Ponzi Scheme Will Continue…


Since many of you are sick of hearing about Bitcoin, I promise this is my last post on the topic for a while. That said, I’d be remiss if I didn’t point out the unusually lucrative arbitrage trade that is largely responsible for sending Bitcoin parabolic. I glossed over it in my last post and given the questions that I’ve received, a full post ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: GBTC
November 16, 2020

My Favorite Ponzi Scheme (Part II)…


People frequently point to Bitcoin having a globally distributed ledger. That may be an interesting attribute, but to me, it’s a globally distributed Ponzi Scheme. It’s amazing to watch as thousands of people pump Bitcoin across all nature of platforms. These people may not know each other and they may even dislike each other, but they’re all united in pumping Bitcoin higher. It truly ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: GBTC
November 12, 2020

What Happens Next…???


Every few years, the stock market seems to be swamped by a “100-year storm.” Investors put their hands up and say “no one could have ever predicted this,” despite there being obvious clues that some sort of an event was imminent. Remember back to the 2000 internet crash when it was obvious that the tech bubble would eventually deflate.  The surprise wasn’t that the ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: GBTC, JOE, CNR, ARLP, CXW
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