November 2, 2020

My Trump Trades…


Let’s start with a disclaimer here. I’m not a professional pollster. With few exceptions, most of the professional pollsters are on the opposite side of this trade. I’m a contrarian and that means I am bound to get a few of these wrong. With that disclaimer out of the way, the early voting data shows Trump with a small lead and as the days ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: ARLP, CXW
October 9, 2020

SHLL We Unwind This One…???


Yeah, yeah. I know. The ticker has changed and it’s no longer SHLL as the merger got approved. Then again, I’m a fan of word-plays and nothing works with Hyliion. Hell, I don’t even know the right way to pronounce Hyliion. Fortunately, it doesn’t matter as I’ve unwound the position. 13 trading days ago, the spread between the shares and the warrants was $14 ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: HYLN
October 7, 2020

Shorts Get ArmaDillar’d


I have been writing a good deal about Event-Driven trading lately on this site; largely because the results have continued to be so strong and I feel that by sharing a few of the strategy types, I can get your mental gears rolling. Three weeks ago, I wrote about the unusual situation at Dillard’s (DDS – USA) where there were more shares short than ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: DDS
October 5, 2020

It’s JOEtime!!!


Back in June of 2018, I wrote an initial piece on St. Joe (JOE – USA), owner of approximately 175,000 undeveloped acres along with assorted commercial real estate on the Florida Panhandle. My thesis was that the stock was trading at $18 and the land was worth a few times that figure. However, without a catalyst, I lost interest and focused on other investments ... Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: JOE
October 2, 2020

On Inflection Investing…


Over the years, I have spent a lot of time talking about “inflection investments,” but have never really given a playbook for how to approach this genre of investments.  Given the number of questions I have received about various investments, clearly, I should have put out some guidance to invest by. What is an inflection investment? This is a situation where some dynamic piece ... Read More
Positions Mentioned: EURN, LPG, STNG, TNK
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