May 6, 2012

Does Real Estate Equal A Bond Short?


A few weeks ago, I was having a chat with a commercial real estate broker here in Miami. We were both baffled by the stratospheric rise in trophy properties in Miami, so he gave a quick example. A wealthy client wanted to get a property “priced out.” This meant that he wanted to have a bidding contest to see where others thought the price Read More
Categories: Comments On Events
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April 24, 2012

Will The Gold Miners Ever Bottom…??


According to a friend, “Since XAU was first invented in 1984, there have only been six days when the ratio of XAU to spot gold has been lower than it was at this morning’s bottom; all of those six days occurred during October-November 2008. The extreme unpopularity of gold mining shares is striking especially when compared with the eagerness of average people to consider Read More
Categories: Investments
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April 18, 2012

Energold Q4–Just Fine


Energold reported earnings about two weeks ago. Since then, I have received about a dozen emails asking “my thoughts.” Look, if I have something to say, I’ll say it. I didn’t even bother to delve into the earnings report until yesterday. If you live and die by one quarter, you will get chopped to pieces. I own things because of long term macro themes—not Read More
Categories: Investments
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April 12, 2012

YENd of an era….


A few weeks back, my good friends over at Capitalist Exploits did a very long and detailed piece on Japan. For anyone who is living in a cave, the Japanese Yen is about to begin a multi-decade bear market. Of course, one could have made the same arguments a few years back and been painfully early. However, I am increasingly starting to think that the top Read More
Categories: Investments
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March 30, 2012

John Paulson Has A Problem…


John Paulson has a problem—his own investors. As long as it’s his problem, it could be a problem for all of us as well. Let me note that I have never met Paulson, but I certainly admire his skill at navigating the markets in 2008 and before then. Unfortunately, in 2009 and 2010, lots of other investors also admired his skills. His funds ballooned Read More
Categories: Comments On Events
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