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April 19, 2021

Trading “Project Zimbabwe…”


At the depths of the COVID crash, I began writing extensively about the equity market ramifications of unlimited fiscal and monetary stimulus. To start with, it was obvious that the equity markets would blast higher—as a result I strapped on as much exposure as I could stomach while remaining a responsible fiduciary. I was also early to recognize the massive influx of retail traders Read More
Categories: Comments On Events
Positions Mentioned:
January 12, 2021

KEDM.COM


Dear Friends, Over the years, I have frequently traded Event-Driven situations, dozens of which I have profitably profiled on this site. As value investing has stopped “working,” I have spent an increasing amount of my time focused on these situations, especially as the influx of retail day-traders and the growth of passive investing has led these situations to work surprisingly well. Along the way, Read More
Categories: General
Positions Mentioned:
September 14, 2020

An ED Trade From The Road…


Event-Driven (ED) trading continues to perform well lately. As a result, rather than bemoan how value investing is stillborn, I’ve continued to shift more of my capital into what’s working. As I’ve noted previously; you can hope that the market reverts to a prior form, or you can evolve. With the number of active managers in terminal decline, the opportunities in the ED world Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: DDS
August 24, 2020

PG&E Redux…


I’m on vacation, but how could I escape the news that California is burning? While PG&E (PCG – USA) has yet to be blamed for these fires, as I sit here in the North Carolina mountains, it sure seems silly to tempt fate. Yeah, I know, I’m the fool for expecting an Event-Driven (ED) situation to work into the teeth of California’s fire season. Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: PCG
June 29, 2020

Event-Driven Winning…


On Monday morning, I posted an article about the extreme mispricing of Nikola Motor’s warrants (NKLAW – USA). While there were ways to arb this trade in an almost risk-free manner, I went into them naked as the spread was so damn wide. Since that time, the warrants have risen by roughly 50% (hitting a high of $41 vs roughly $28 when I posted). Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: NKLAW