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September 23, 2020
Published by Kuppy at September 23, 2020
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I’ve been spending more and more of my time on Event-Driven (ED) trading strategies because I see the most opportunity there. I’ve already spoken about how SPACs often diverge from their own warrants—mainly because the Robinhood platform doesn’t allow its clients to play along in the warrants. Back in June, I played this fact very profitably in Nikola Motors (NKLA – USA) where the Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: SHLL
October 25, 2019
Published by Kuppy at October 25, 2019
Categories
Let me cut to the chase; I won a few along the way, but Elon Musk clearly won this most recent battle. Earlier this week, Musk stared at revenue comping negative, collapsing ASPs, and abysmal margins. He had his Draghi moment where he determined that he’d do “whatever it takes.” The alternative was to let investors blast Tesla (TSLA – USA) and face a Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: TSLAQ
June 25, 2019
Published by Kuppy at June 25, 2019
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Given the amount of time I’ve spent talking about Tesla (TSLAQ – USA) on this site, I’d be remiss if I didn’t point out that I materially changed my position over the past few days. Back in October of 2018, I felt that shorts were pressing their bets a bit too hard and noted that, “…All evidence seems to show that they’ve used every Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: TSLAQ
March 3, 2019
Published by Kuppy at March 3, 2019
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For Part I Click Here This may surprise people, but accounting isn’t a black and white endeavor—there’s actually a lot of gray area—particularly when you deal with accruals and estimates for future events. This is the reason that two very similar companies can report very different short-term results. What is the useful life of equipment from a depreciation standpoint? What is the eventual cost Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: TSLA, TSLAQ
March 1, 2019
Published by Kuppy at March 1, 2019
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All Ponzi schemes follow a basic rule; as long as more money is coming in than out, the scheme can continue to inflate. When money stops flowing in, the scheme collapses—often quite rapidly. I believe that Tesla (TSLAQ – USA) is near the final stages of this arc. Excluding stock option exercises, cash is no longer inbound; meanwhile Tesla can no longer use financial Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: TSLAQ
October 11, 2018
Published by Kuppy at October 11, 2018
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Last week, US interest rates completed a multi-year reversal pattern and broke out over a three-decade downtrend line. I believe that interest rates move in generational cycles and the chart pattern has now confirmed a long-term trend towards higher interest rates. This trend is across the entire US duration curve and appears to have been followed by similar moves in many other global benchmarks. Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: Aimia, Viemed, Tesla, Tidewater
Ponzis Go Boom!!!