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April 7, 2021
Published by Kuppy at April 7, 2021
I’ve been trading stocks for two decades now. As time goes on, I get more attuned to my own gut feel—a gut feel that has been honed from countless mistakes along the way. I don’t know why, but when I have trouble sleeping, it is always about some position of mine. I play the scenarios over in my mind, I think it through, but
Read MorePositions Mentioned: GBTC
March 22, 2021
Published by Kuppy at March 22, 2021
Over the past few months, bonds have had one of their sharpest selloffs in history. This should be no surprise. JPOW and Yellen have been quite clear that they intend to create epic levels of inflation and shred bondholders. History is replete with paper currencies getting debauched. As a result, I expect that our clueless band of inflationeers will succeed beyond their wildest dreams—especially
Read MorePositions Mentioned: Bitcoin, CNR, JOE
January 15, 2021
Published by Kuppy at January 15, 2021
Last night, a buddy texted me. (I’m going to paraphrase a bit as this is a family site) FRIEND: Kuppy, you won’t believe what those assholes did!! ME: Wait!! What?? Who?? FRIEND: They robbed us!! ME: Who?? FRIEND: Read that press release from AT… ME: Holy Shit!! Who else do we know that owns this?? FRIEND: Dunno… You wanna rally the troops and get
Read MorePositions Mentioned: AT
December 31, 2020
Published by Kuppy at December 31, 2020
Lots of people seem to have finance blogs these days. Everyone has opinions on the markets. Once a year, we add up the score and see who got it right. 2019 was something of a whiff for me—I made money, but it was a soft year. Thankfully, I broke out of my slump and knocked the cover off the ball during 2020. While I
Read MorePositions Mentioned:
December 27, 2020
Published by Kuppy at December 27, 2020
I have a friend who’s a reasonably competent trader. He’s the type who draws his voodoo lines everywhere on the charts. He caught the same trendline break on Bitcoin that I did around $9,200. He expected some resistance around $10,000 and sold out for a quick score just below the figure. He then got the breakout at $12,000 and rode it a few thousand.
Read MorePositions Mentioned: GBTC, JOE
November 24, 2020
Published by Kuppy at November 24, 2020
Since many of you are sick of hearing about Bitcoin, I promise this is my last post on the topic for a while. That said, I’d be remiss if I didn’t point out the unusually lucrative arbitrage trade that is largely responsible for sending Bitcoin parabolic. I glossed over it in my last post and given the questions that I’ve received, a full post
Read MorePositions Mentioned: GBTC
November 16, 2020
Published by Kuppy at November 16, 2020
People frequently point to Bitcoin having a globally distributed ledger. That may be an interesting attribute, but to me, it’s a globally distributed Ponzi Scheme. It’s amazing to watch as thousands of people pump Bitcoin across all nature of platforms. These people may not know each other and they may even dislike each other, but they’re all united in pumping Bitcoin higher. It truly
Read MorePositions Mentioned: GBTC
November 12, 2020
Published by Kuppy at November 12, 2020
Every few years, the stock market seems to be swamped by a “100-year storm.” Investors put their hands up and say “no one could have ever predicted this,” despite there being obvious clues that some sort of an event was imminent. Remember back to the 2000 internet crash when it was obvious that the tech bubble would eventually deflate. The surprise wasn’t that the
Read MorePositions Mentioned: GBTC, JOE, CNR, ARLP, CXW
November 2, 2020
Published by Kuppy at November 2, 2020
Let’s start with a disclaimer here. I’m not a professional pollster. With few exceptions, most of the professional pollsters are on the opposite side of this trade. I’m a contrarian and that means I am bound to get a few of these wrong. With that disclaimer out of the way, the early voting data shows Trump with a small lead and as the days
Read MorePositions Mentioned: ARLP, CXW
