Archives
Please click on a button below to jump straight to that category.
June 30, 2022
Published by Kuppy at June 30, 2022
Categories
During the great Ponzi Bubble of 2020 and 2021, many devout value investors, went over to the dark side. When cheap stocks refused to revalue, they saw Ponzis ramping and decided to participate. Why did they stray? It’s hard to say. Some simply wanted to make money. Others, feared for their firms if they didn’t play along—redemptions can be vicious. Maybe a few even Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: Ponzi Schemes
September 23, 2020
Published by Kuppy at September 23, 2020
Categories
I’ve been spending more and more of my time on Event-Driven (ED) trading strategies because I see the most opportunity there. I’ve already spoken about how SPACs often diverge from their own warrants—mainly because the Robinhood platform doesn’t allow its clients to play along in the warrants. Back in June, I played this fact very profitably in Nikola Motors (NKLA – USA) where the Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: SHLL
October 25, 2019
Published by Kuppy at October 25, 2019
Categories
Let me cut to the chase; I won a few along the way, but Elon Musk clearly won this most recent battle. Earlier this week, Musk stared at revenue comping negative, collapsing ASPs, and abysmal margins. He had his Draghi moment where he determined that he’d do “whatever it takes.” The alternative was to let investors blast Tesla (TSLA – USA) and face a Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: TSLAQ
June 25, 2019
Published by Kuppy at June 25, 2019
Categories
Given the amount of time I’ve spent talking about Tesla (TSLAQ – USA) on this site, I’d be remiss if I didn’t point out that I materially changed my position over the past few days. Back in October of 2018, I felt that shorts were pressing their bets a bit too hard and noted that, “…All evidence seems to show that they’ve used every Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: TSLAQ
May 13, 2019
Published by Kuppy at May 13, 2019
Categories
I have been highly critical of the Profitless Prosperity Sector (a.k.a the Ponzi Sector). The sector consists of companies that are effectively Ponzi Schemes; in that they have accelerating losses but show blistering growth rates in order to attract new capital. This all worked fine when companies kept their free floats small enough to be manipulated like Tesla (TSLA – USA) or stayed private Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: TSLA
March 3, 2019
Published by Kuppy at March 3, 2019
Categories
For Part I Click Here This may surprise people, but accounting isn’t a black and white endeavor—there’s actually a lot of gray area—particularly when you deal with accruals and estimates for future events. This is the reason that two very similar companies can report very different short-term results. What is the useful life of equipment from a depreciation standpoint? What is the eventual cost Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: TSLA, TSLAQ
March 1, 2019
Published by Kuppy at March 1, 2019
Categories
All Ponzi schemes follow a basic rule; as long as more money is coming in than out, the scheme can continue to inflate. When money stops flowing in, the scheme collapses—often quite rapidly. I believe that Tesla (TSLAQ – USA) is near the final stages of this arc. Excluding stock option exercises, cash is no longer inbound; meanwhile Tesla can no longer use financial Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: TSLAQ
October 25, 2018
Published by Kuppy at October 25, 2018
Categories
On October 11, I noted that “…I have booked all of my Tesla (TSLAQ – USA) Jan 2019 250/175 put spreads after owning them for almost a year, at a reference price of $255 compared to a reference price of $320 when I first wrote about them. While I am certain that Tesla collapses in the near future, all evidence seems to show that they’ve Read More
Categories: Investments
Positions Mentioned: TSLA
The Profitless Prosperity Sector Will Collapse…